Betting Tips

How to choose the over or under when betting on an NFL game

Bettors should never assume two strong teams will have a strong performance together

Betting on NFL games can be both thrilling and potentially rewarding, and one of the most popular wagering options is the over/under bet. Also known as the “totals” bet, it involves predicting whether the combined score of both teams will be over or under a specific number set by oddsmakers. To make the most of an NFL over/under bet, there are some key factors to consider.

Begin by researching the offensive and defensive capabilities of the teams involved. Look at their average points scored and allowed per game over the season. Consider factors like key player injuries, recent performance, and how well the team performs both at home and on the road. Teams with potent offenses and weak defenses are more likely to produce higher-scoring games, making the over an attractive option.

Weather can significantly impact an NFL game, especially extreme conditions like heavy rain, snow, or strong winds. These elements can hinder passing and kicking accuracy, potentially leading to lower-scoring affairs. Check the weather forecast before placing your bet, as it can be a critical factor in choosing the over or under.

Review the history of matchups between the two teams. Certain teams tend to play high-scoring games against each other, while others may consistently produce lower-scoring contests due to strong defenses or conservative play-calling. Past trends can provide valuable insights into how the current game might unfold.

Try to anticipate how the game flow might unfold. If you expect a close match, teams might play conservatively in crucial moments, leading to lower-scoring outcomes. Conversely, games with a wide point spread might see more aggressive play, increasing the likelihood of a higher-scoring affair.

Keep an eye on line movements in the over/under. If the line moves upward, it suggests more people are betting on the over, while a downward shift indicates higher bets on the under. Understanding these movements can help you gauge the betting market’s sentiment and make an educated decision.

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